Author Archive

A Meal of Berger

Sunday, July 25th, 2004

Everyone loves a mystery and the challenge of reconciling seemingly contradictory facts. This is what makes the recent investigation if Sandy Berger, the former National Security Advisor for President Bill Clinton, so intriguing. In preparation for his testimony before the commission investigating the 9/11 attacks and as the person vetting documents for the Clinton Administration, Berger was reviewing thousands of pages of documents at the National Archives.

The details of what happen remain murky, but a few things are clear to all. Berger admits to leaving “inadvertently” the National Archives with highly classified materials. He further concedes that some of the documents from the National Archives have been accidentally discarded. In addition, Berger admits that, in violation of laws on handling classified materials, he took hand-written notes from the material with him out of the National Archives. The matter is still under investigation. The mystery lies in the fact that none of the most obvious explanations of Berger’s behavior appear entirely plausible.

Berger’s explanation, that the entire mishap is a consequence of disheveled clumsiness, does not quite explain all the facts. First, as a National Security Advisor the treatment of highly classified material whose disclosure could harm national security, should have become second nature. Berger knew the rules about removing notes and admits that he deliberately took those notes with him. Moreover, if one or two pages of material unintentionally slipped into a brief case one time, the absent-minded professor excuse would be very believable. But the withdrawal of materials on separate occasions requires believing of Berger a level of incompetence inconsistent with the respect associates generally accord Berger. Moreover, the former CIA Director John Deutch, appointed by Clinton in 1995 was investigated when he mishandled data that he brought home. One would have expected that the incident would have made clear to Berger the seriousness of sloppy handling of classified material, even inadvertent mishandling.

Another report that argues against the inadvertent removal of material is that off all the documents that he reviewed, on both occasions he only removed versions of the Millennium Report, a review of the security measures implemented for the year 2000 celebration. Apparently, the report was critical of the Clinton Administration. The accidental remove of only versions of this document twice seems unlikely.

However, removing this report would not hide its conclusions. There were other copies of the report and it was review by the 9/11 Commission. So what was to be gained by Berger or even the Clinton Administration by removing a few copies of the document?

Some of the more conspiratorially imaginative Republican partisans have suggested that perhaps there were embarrassing margin notes written in some of the copies of the Millennium Report. This explanation appears to explain the know facts, but that seems highly speculative and it is hard to imagine anything in the margins that would be worth the risk of prosecution for deliberate theft and unauthorized destruction of classified material.

Not to be out done in spinning the news, some Democratic partisans (including former President Clinton) suggest that the release of information about the investigation of Berger was a clever Republican plot to divert attention from the 9/11 Commission Report. This theory lacks plausibility for two reasons. First, the information did not come out at the optimum time for maximum political effect. Perhaps during the Democratic Convention or late in October would have been a better time. In addition, the Administration knew what was in the 9/11 Report before it was issued publicly. They had to vet it for security reasons. Since the Commission’s report was even-handed, not blaming either the Clinton or Bush Administrations for 9/11, there was little reason to exploit the Berger’s problems at this time.

There are even doubly clever Republican theorists who suggest that Democrats leaked the information now so it could not be used at a later, more effective time by Republicans. This seems too clever by half. Clear thought drowns at these depths of Machiavellian scheming.

A benign theory that has been floated is that Berger was simply gathering information for what just about everyone else in Washington does: writing a book. Yet even this does not explain removing copious notes about a report he could probably remember the key points of without notes. We will have to wait for more information before we can draw definitive conclusions about Berger and we ought to grant him guarded latitude until then.

What is most revealing is the reaction of the press to the Berger incident. Sure it was covered but not with the ferocious intensity that the New York Times usually reserves for all-male country clubs in Georgia. Where are the demands for more information? Where is the indignation?

It can not be proved with certainty, but if the current National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice was caught removing and discarding highly classified documents that some thought would be embarrassing to the Bush Administration’s handling of the terrorist threat she would not be granted the same latitude accorded Berger.

In an amazingly self-contradictory editorial, the Washington Post criticized avid Republicans in the House for making suggestions about Berger’s motives on little information, while at the same time noting, “that news of the months-old investigation of Mr. Berger just happened to leak on the week before the Democratic convention.” You see, it is unfair to make negative inferences of Democrats on little evidence, but perfectly reasonable to use innuendo against Republicans in the absolute absence of evidence.

We gain further insight into Left-wing partisan analysis from the Capital Times, a “progressive” newspaper in Wisconsin. They editorialize that “Democrats should not waste an ounce of energy defending the former Clinton aide.” Why? Because he is perhaps guilty of mishandling classified material? No. Because “he tried to get former Clinton to launch a war with Iraq in the late 1990s.” If Berger had been on the other side of the Iraq issue, presumably Berger could be forgiven or at least defended.

Another Anti-Bush Slander Debunked

Sunday, July 18th, 2004

“Truth is generally the best vindication against slander.” — Abraham Lincoln.

An important principle for civil discourse is to never assume maliciousness when incompetence is a sufficient explanation. Even with the best of motivations, it is possible for the wisest of us to make errors and misjudgments. Errors can be remedied with more information or additional consideration. However, maliciousness requires greater effort to cure. Nonetheless, when someone accuses others of deliberate mendacity and is subsequently proved wrong, grossly wrong, they deserve to be treated by the same harsh and unforgiving criteria they eagerly applied to others. Having been unforgiving of others, they waive the right to expect forgiveness.

Former Ambassador Joseph Wilson is an adviser to Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry who boldly asserts that the “value system” of the Bush Administration “is distorted and not based on truth.” To much media attention, including a cover of Time magazine, Wilson also wrote a book with a title long enough to match his ego, The Politics of Truth: Inside the Lies that Led to War and Betrayed My CIA Wife’s Identity: A Diplomat’s Memoir. Hence, Wilson has made much of being the proud and self-described bearer of the truth against the forces of deception.

New information now challenges Wilson’s assertions. With the release of the report from the US Senate Intelligence Committee and the Butler Report in Great Britain, we now have bi-partisan and bilateral conclusions that Wilson’s claims were radically wrong.

Most of the major media has ignored the determination that it was Wilson, if anyone was, who was lying. One exception is Susan Schmidt, staff writer for the Washington Post. She was quick to actually read the Senate Intelligence Committee Report and wrote on July 10, 2004:

“Wilson’s assertions — both about what he found in Niger and what the Bush administration did with the information — were undermined yesterday in a bi-partisan Senate Intelligence Committee report.”

Wilson became the poster boy for the Hate-Bush Fan Club as a consequence of disputing President Bush’s State of the Union address were Bush said that, “The British government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa.”

Joseph Wilson followed with a triumphant article in the New York Times claiming that on his visit to Africa for the CIA he did not find evidence of such efforts by Iraq. Moreover, Wilson claimed that Bush knew or should a have known there was no evidence that Iraq was seeking uranium but irresponsibly made the claim anyways, with the implication that Bush was misleading the country to buttress the case for war against Iraq.

However, after a thorough review of the evidence, the Senate Intelligence Report now concludes that, the “Nigerian prime minister had told embassy personnel that there were buyers like Iraq who were seeking to pay more for Niger’s uranium…” Indeed, Wilson’s report to the CIA lent credence to the notion that Iraq was seeking nuclear materials. Wilson’s CIA report confirmed the claim by Nigerian officials that the Iraqi delegation in 1999 was “interested in purchasing uranium.” As the Senate Report concludes, “[f]or most analysts, the information in Wilson report lent more credibility to the original Central Intelligence Agency…reports on the uranium deal…”

The Butler Report in Great Britain came to much the same conclusion about Hussein’s nuclear ambitions. Given the evidence at the time, it was reasonable to conclude that Saddam Hussein was seeking uranium from Africa. The Butler Report was even more explicit in its support of Bush concluding, “that the statement in President Bush’s State of the Union Address of 28 January 2003 that: `The British government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa,’ was well founded.”

Perhaps it will assuage Wilson’s self-image to know that not many people can manage to be repudiated by two fact-finding commissions on two continents in a single month.

There was another small discrepancy in Wilson’s public assertions, small with respect to issues of weapons of mass destruction, but illuminating nonetheless. At the time of Wilson’s claims, it seemed peculiar that the CIA would send a former diplomat with no particular investigative background or WMD expertise to Niger to gather additional intelligence. Conservative columnists Robert Novak reported that Wilson’s wife, who worked for the CIA, suggested Wilson for the job. Wilson denied that his wife had anything to do with his hiring. The Senate Report found the actual memo where Wilson’s wife made the recommendation of her husband for the Niger mission, providing documentary evidence of Wilson’s misstatement.

The acknowledgment of his wife’s influence might have been embarrassing to Wilson for a couple of reasons. First, it would paint Wilson as a has-been diplomat reduced to using his wife’s influence to obtain assignments. Second, it made the release of his wife’s CIA association seem like a sinister plot to punish Wilson and his wife, rather than as just a whistle-blower at the CIA reporting on nepotism. It is much easier to play the role of an undeterred martyr valiantly standing up for the truth than a down-on-his-luck diplomat trying to relive past glories.

It could be the case that Wilson believed his wife had nothing to do with his CIA assignment. His wife might have hid her efforts on his behalf as an act of spousal tenderness. It is not clear now what Wilson would have us believe. Would Wilson rather be thought of as a person who deliberately misled the country in pursuit of a political agenda or an unknowing beneficiary of his wife’s charity and attempts to preserve her husband’s self-image?

Perhaps the most interesting thing to note is how quickly the Left and Democrats were to embrace Wilson when Wilson was charging duplicity on the part of the Bush Administration. Will they now be quick to distance themselves? Will Kerry dismiss Wilson as an adviser? The major media outlets were also quick to provide a forum for Wilson’s charges. How much attention will be now devoted to the definitive Wilson debunking? The media can always revert to old saw about what is news. If a dog bites a man, that is not news because that happens all the time. However, if a man bites a dog, that is news. If another charge against Bush is debunked that is not news, because that happens all the time.

In Search of an Election Surprise

Sunday, July 11th, 2004

The last two times a Bush ran for president, each was the victim of an “October surprise.” In the week before the Bush-Clinton election in 1992, Special Prosecutor Lawrence Walsh indicted former Secretary of Defense Casper Weinberger in an apparent attempt to shower the elder George Bush with Iran-Contra fallout. The indictment was so transparently flimsy that it was soon dismissed by a Federal judge. The Clinton momentum was so strong at that point, that Clinton would have won even without the indictment, but the incident serves to illustrate a partisan attempt to influence the political process through a last minute dirty trick.

One week before the 2000, Bush-Gore election, Tom Connolly, a Gore delegate from Maine, released information that George W. Bush had been arrested for Driving While Intoxicated (DWI) some twenty-four years earlier. Connolly had been in possession of the information for some time, and while one may argue that the information should have been public, the timing of its release was deliberately calculated for maximum political damage, not for a thorough vetting of the issue. Given the closeness of the 2000 election and the fact that the last-minute poll movement was toward Gore, a plausible case can be made that this October surprise cost Bush the popular vote and threw the nation into weeks of divisive political and judicial conflict.

It is, therefore, no surprise when some on the Left engage in what psychologists term “projection” and fret about the possibility that the Republicans will manufacture a spectacular news event and dramatically tip the election toward Bush. In a recent New Republic article, John Judis and his co-authors suggest that the Bush Administration is not only pushing the Pakistanis to turn over high value Al Qaeda operatives, but precisely timing such an event for maximum political advantage. Now the Bush Administration would be negligent if it were not pressing Pakistan to be as forthcoming as possible with regard to rooting out Al Qaeda leadership, but the charge in the New Republic is that Pakistanis are being urge to time the news of such a capture for July 26, 27, or 28, during the Democratic National Convention.

This sort of paranoia would be humorous if it did not afflict writers for what generally is a more responsible journal. On one hand, the Left suggests that the Bush Administration is incompetent and not running the post-war Iraqi transition to a democracy correctly, and that the same Administration is so clever and omnipotent that they can arrange the timing of a capture of a member of the Al Qaeda leadership to a three-day window. One cringes at the mental gymnastics required to twist oneself into such an intellectual pretzel.

All of us have a world view, an understanding of the way the world works. If events or other evidence buttress this view, we tend to grant them high credibility. If the evidence conflicts with our perceptions, we are likely to be more skeptical it. There is nothing wrong with this, indeed it is an important coping mechanism. If someone claims there is a blue car on the street, we probably would accept the assertion because there is nothing in it that challenges any of our assumptions. If, on the other hand, the same person makes the claim that there is a blue flying saucer in the street, no matter how otherwise credible the source is, we would probably attempt to confirm the assertion by looking out the window for ourselves.

Allow us to respectfully suggest that perhaps Judis is infused with a world view that might tend to lend excessive credibility to sources that might suggest a nefarious Bush conspiracy. Judis graduated with a BA and MA from Berkeley, a garden in which Conservative ideas are thought to be weeds, not the beautiful political blossoms we know them to be. Judis strengthened his Left-wing credentials by co-founding the journal the Socialist Revolution and later joined the editorial staff of the New Republic. Of course, all this does not mean the Judis was trying to deliberately mislead his readers. A strong point of view is not inconsistent with honesty. Rather, we suggest that his world view and perhaps partisanship have made him susceptible to irrational notions of a conspiracy on the weak reeds of evidence he presented. Hopefully, he and the New Republic will soon recover from their ideological stupor.

The Loyal Opposition

Sunday, July 4th, 2004

In fantasy baseball, erstwhile managers construct their best fantasy team by “drafting” current professional players. Competing fantasy managers draft from the remaining players in the same pool. Under such circumstances, fantasy mangers are likely to acquire players on their fantasy teams who in actuality compete against the favorite real teams of the fantasy managers. If during the year, the players on the fantasy team do well in actual play, the fantasy team becomes more successful. A fantasy manager is thereby placed in the awkward position of having dual interests in the outcome of any particular baseball game. Fantasy managers root for their real favorite teams to win and at the same time hope the players on their fantasy team do well. Sometimes those wishes come into conflict. Managing a fantasy baseball team can thus strain the normal bonds to one’s favorite real team.

This similar divided interest plagues the political party out of power. It is so hard to be the loyal opposition. It is not intellectually difficult to be loyal, while maintaining an honest agreement with the policies of a current Administration. However, it can put someone in the awkward position of realizing that if the country does well, then their party’s chances of reclaiming political power shrink.

Yet, most of the loyal opposition are “loyal” and would rather see their country prosper even if it means reducing political opportunities. This remains true even though sometimes, the animal spirits of competition will temporarily blind some to their true desires. It is also politically imprudent to be seen to be rooting against the country’s good fortune.

It is, unfortunately, sometimes difficult for the loyal opposition to distance themselves from those extreme elements for whom party is more important than country, for whom personal animosity toward a political adversary is a greater virtue than honesty, and for whom hunger for notoriety exceeds constraints of civility. Old political pros know how to do this; less experience ones do not. That is one reason that retired Army General Wesley Clark, a presumed moderate, failed in this bid for the Democratic nomination. Not only was his standard campaign stump speech intemperate (he repeatedly called Bush “unpatriotic”), but when given an opportunity to distance himself from Michael Moore’s assertion that Bush was a “deserter” he fumbled and stuttered and failed to do so. Clark looked so pathetic. He was struggling between two natural impulses. He did not want to forgo the red meat issue Moore uses to inflame partisans, but he also knew it was ignoble to support unsubstantiated accusations. It would have been politically wise for him to do the right thing and dismiss the charge, but the rookie politician succumbed to the temptation of excessive partisanship.

The popularity among the Left of Michael Moore’s movie Fahrenheit 9/11 runs the risk of doing to the Democratic Party as a whole what Moore did to Wesley Clark. The movie has been described, by no less a Leftie than Christopher Hitchens, as “a sinister exercise in moral frivolity, crudely disguised as an exercise in seriousness … a spectacle of abject political cowardice masking itself as a demonstration of `dissenting’ bravery.” There is always such silliness on the fringes.

The real danger is that Democratic leaders have not distanced themselves from the movie or from Moore. Democratic National Committee Chairman Terry McAuliffe gives credence to Moore assertion that Bush defeated the Taliban in Afghanistan War to help Dick Cheney’s old company, while Democratic Tom Harkin of encouraged Americans to see the film. Indeed, the fill is so factually incorrect that by even remaining silent about it constitutes an ignoble acquiescence.

It might be politically advantageous for Republicans to watch gleefully as Democrats hang their political fortunes to a person who believes that Americans are “possibly the dumbest people on the planet.” Surely mainstream Democrats do not want to explain to American voters why the Democrats’ most prominent (or at least most conspicuous) polemicist derisively believes that we Americans ”have got that big [expletive] grin on our face all the time because our brains aren’t loaded down.” Democrats should not want to be attached to a cynical analysis that the problem with the 9/11 attacks is that the terrorist struck at areas that voted for Al Gore. According to “If someone did this [9/11] to get back at Bush, then they did so by killing thousands of people who did not vote for him! Boston, New York , D.C., and the planes’ destination of California — these were places that voted against Bush!” Does Moore really suggest that the attack would have warranted against Dallas or Topeka or that the killing of Americans who voted for Bush might be understandable?.

However, like Democrats who might wistfully long for bad economic news or problems in Iraq but in more lucid moments dismiss this feeling as contrary to their fundamental loyalties, Republicans ought not wish for a country divided by a bitter and vicious propaganda even if it ultimately works to their political advantage.

New Bush Ad

Sunday, June 27th, 2004

“When I hear Bush say, `You’re either with us or against us,’ it reminds me of the Germans. It conjures up memories of Nazi slogans on the walls, Der Feind Hort mit (The enemy is listening).’ My experiences under Nazi and Soviet rule have sensitized me.” — Wealthy supporter of Left-wing causes George Soros.

“The administration works closely with a network of rapid-response digital Brown Shirts who work to pressure reporters and their editors for undermining support for our troops…” — former Vice President Al Gore.

Americans are typically a congenitally open, friendly, and hopeful people, and they find mean-spiritedness distasteful and off-putting. Americans prefer happy endings over smug, sophisticated cynicism. Former President Ronald Reagan played to these virtues and easily defeated an incumbent pessimistic president, who looked to future and only saw decline. When President Bill Clinton was mired in the muck surrounding his prevarications under oath, Clinton managed to shoulder the mantle of victim-hood and make his accusers appear vindictive. Vindictiveness appeared to many as even tinier than Clinton’s smallness. This comparison worked to Clinton’s benefit and made it politically impossible to convict Clinton in the Senate.

The Republicans have recently carefully crafted a campaign commercial that plays on the American aversion to excessive partisanship by splicing together vitriolic anti-Bush ads and speeches by Democratic and Left-wing leaders. The commercial can be found at www.georgebush.com.

The campaign ad begins with a title scene: “The Faces of John Kerry’s Democratic Party. The Coalition of the Wild Eyed.” The title scene is followed by the wildest eyed partisan of all, the person with a soul of a vice-president, Al Gore. To a background of hearty cheers, Gore shouts: “How dare they drag the good name of the United States of America through the mud of Saddam’s Hussein’s torture prison.”

The MoveOn organization is a limitless reservoir of anti-Bush hatred and exaggeration. The Bush ad inserts a clip submitted to a MoveOn campaign ad contest. It shows a red stylized image of Adolf Hitler over the words “What were war crimes in 1945…” followed by a similarly stylized image of George Bush, with his hand up vaguely reminiscent of a Nazi salute, and the words, “…is Foreign policy in 2003.” All the time in the background, there is the drum beat of voices shouting “Sieg Heil! Sieg Heil!”

Next the Bush ad sequences through facial close-ups of speakers addressing anti-Bush crowds worked up to a fever pitch:

  • Former Democratic presidential candidate Governor Howard Dean barking, “I want my country back.”
  • Film maker Michael Moore and chief propagandist for the Left asserting, “We live in a time where we have a man sending us to war for fictitious reasons.”
  • Normally, well-mannered Representative Dick Gephardt screaming, “The president is a miserable failure.”

Dipping once again into the infinite well of MoveOn’s anti-Bush venom, the Bush ad splices in another clip submitted to MoveOn. It shows a photographs of Adolf Hitler and George Bush, with the words “God told me to strike at Al Qaeda and I struck at them … and then he instructed me to tike at Saddam, which I did.”

The Bush ad picks up pace as it switches once again to Gore shouting to a frenzied crowd, “He betrayed this country. He played on our fear.”

Finally, we see John Kerry, angrily telling us that “Today George Bush will lay off your camel, tax your shovel, kick your ass, and tell you there is no promised land.”

The ad suddenly switches to soothing piano music and we see a flattering image of George Bush. The ad ends by seizing the moral high ground with the words, “This is not a time for pessimism and rage. It is a time for optimism, steady leadership, and progress.”

This commercial will be studied for some time because it cleverly turns the anti-Bush ads on their heads. The MoveOn ads and the Democratic rhetoric try to portray Bush as an evil and even Hitlerian character. By exhibiting this extreme position to a moderate general audience rather than to true-believers on the Left, the Bush ad makes Kerry supporters appear radical and pushes Kerry’s perceived position further to the Left. Even many who disagree with Bush do not find him evil or malicious. The Bush ad reveals some Kerry supporters to be mean-spirited, angry partisans, characters distinctively offensive to most Americans. That message is obvious.

The incredibly ingenious part of the Bush ad is that the Democratic and Left wing denunciations of Bush have the same cadence and pace as the MoveOn clips of Hitler. The Bush ads reverse the association of Nazis with Bush, making Kerry supporters appear with the same heated oratory, the same wild crowds moved by angry rhetoric, and the same bitter resentment of the Nazis. In a campaign ad jujitsu reverse move, this Bush ad succeeds in using MoveOn ads and the angry rhetoric of the Left against them.

The Bush camp must now be careful. The point has been made. Playing that ad too long could eventually backfire. Republicans do not need to be bringing images of Hitler into people’s living rooms. Now that the stage has been set, all the Bush team needs to do is follow Al Gore around with a film crew.

Getting It Wrong Again

Sunday, June 20th, 2004

“The history of our race, and each individual’s experience, are sown thick with evidence that a truth is not hard to kill and that a lie told well is immortal.” — Mark Twain.

The logical fallacy argumentum ad misercordiam asks us to accept the truth of a proposition out of pity for the sorry state of those making an argument. It is only by evoking such sympathy that mainstream news organizations can hope that we accept conspicuous and persistent inaccuracies in their coverage of the War on Terrorism. Not only have there been minor inconsistencies in coverage, but there have been unrelenting errors that betray a fundamental misunderstanding of President Bush’s case for the War on Terror. It is not just that major new organizations display disagreement with Bush’s position, but they display a depth of misunderstanding so deep that it is doubtfuk that some news organizations can ever emerge. Consider the following fantasies of the Left (oops, of the National Media): The Bush Administration was wrong in arguing that that (1) the threat for Iraq was imminent and (2) that Saddam’s Iraq materially conspired with Al Qaeda to execute the September 11, 2001 attacks on the United States. Well. The Bush Administration did not make those argument and assertions that they did are either incredibly misinformed or are aimed at scorching the Administration in the flames of burning strawmen.

Consider first the issue of whether the Bush Administration argued that Iraqi threat to the United States was “imminent.”

In September 2002, the White House published the National Security Strategy of the United States. The report explicitly recognized that threats facing the US came largely from stateless (though perhaps state-supported) institutions. During the Cold War, no matter how distasteful, we depended upon nuclear deterrence to prevent attacks. The new threat from stateless terrorist can not be dealt with similarly. In the words of the report:

“Traditional concepts of deterrence will not work against a terrorist enemy whose avowed tactics are wanton destruction and the targeting of innocents; whose so-called soldiers seek martyrdom in death and whose most potent protection is statelessness.”In a world where it might be possible for terrorist to acquire weapons that might kill thousands of innocents, waiting until a threat is “imminent” or “immediate” might to be grievously too late. More “anticipatory” action might be required. While some suggest that the preemption doctrine is a new one, it rests on at least a forty-year heritage. During the Cuban Missile Crisis, President John Kennedy’s Administration argued that the blockade of Cuba — an act of war by any conventional definition — to prevent deployment of Soviet missiles in Cuba was justified even if the threat from such missiles was not immediate or imminent. By the time such a threat would become imminent, any action would be too late. The Kennedy Administration argued that self-defense might require military action before hostilities were imminent and exercised the prerogative.

By extension, the National Security Strategy of the United States. report argued that:

“The United States has long maintained the option of preemptive actions to counter a sufficient threat to our national security. The greater the threat, the greater is the risk of inaction — and the more compelling the case for taking anticipatory action to defend ourselves, even if uncertainty remains as to the time and place of the enemy’s attack. To forestall or prevent such hostile acts by our adversaries, the United States will, if necessary, act preemptively.”

Now it is reasonable to either agree or disagree with this doctrine. However, it can not be reasonably asserted that the doctrine suggests need for imminent threats to justify preemptive action. The doctrine was clearly lays out the opposite.

However, that has not stopped presumably responsible media outlets from repeatedly suggesting that the Bush Administration was calling Saddam’s threat imminent. One might expect Liberal PBS commentator Bill Moyers to mistakenly suggest “We were at the mercy of the official view that he was an ‘imminent threat’ without any reliable information to back it up.” Moyers’s has, in recent years, cultivated a fondness for convenient fictions. However, it was a grave error for the New York Times, the self-appointed newspaper of record, to assert that “Nothing found so far backs up administration claims that Mr. Hussein posed an imminent threat to the world.” It is only slightly less egregious to for the Los Angeles Times to suggest that Bush’s State of the Union address “[promised] new evidence that Saddam Hussein’s regime poses an imminent danger to the world.”

What the president actually said in was, “Some have said we must not act until the threat is imminent. Since when have terrorists and tyrants announced their intentions, politely putting us on notice before they strike? If this threat is permitted to fully and suddenly emerge, all actions, all words and all recriminations would come too late. Trusting in the sanity and restraint of Saddam Hussein is not a strategy, and it is not an option.” No imminence was a suggested or required. [1]

The second issue centers around the claim that the Bush Administration suggested the attacks on September were jointly conducted by Hussein’s regime and Al Qaeda.

A preliminary report by the staff of the September 11 Commission finds no evidence that Iraq and Al Qaeda worked jointly to execute the 9/11 attacks. USAToday began their coverage of the report with peculiar assertion, “There is `no credible evidence’ that Saddam Hussein helped al-Qaeda plan and train for attacks against the United States, the commission investigating the September 11 terrorist attacks said Wednesday. That finding disputes a rationale the Bush administration gave for invading Iraq.” But that clearly was not was not the rationale. The argument was that given the links between Iraq and Al Qaeda, their joint motivation to attack the US, and Saddam’s refusal to compile with UN resolutions to rid Iraq of WMD, we need to act before any threat became imminent.

The Associated Press covered the Commission Report by with the lead: “Rebuffing Bush administration claims, the independent commission investigating the September 11 attacks said Wednesday no evidence exists that al-Qaeda had strong ties to Saddam Hussein.” Other news reports suggested that the Commission’s report had dismissed the Bush Administration’s assertion that Al Qaeda and Iraq cooperated in the 9/11 attack.

Unfortunately, the differences any subtle difference between the Commission’s Report and Administration statements were exaggerated beyond all reasonable recognition.

Within a couple of days, the Co-Chairmen of the Commission, Democrat Lee Hamilton, grew frustrated with all the miss coverage. Hamilton explained, “…I have trouble understanding all the flak over this…Sharp differences that the press has drawn, that the media have drawn, are not that apparent to me.” Indeed, everyone concedes that there were high-level contacts between Iraq and Al Qaeda, the extent and nature of the relationship is difficult to assess. The Clinton Administration was at least as insistent on the operational links between Iraq and Al Qaeda. In their 1998 formal legal indictment against bin Laden, the Clinton Administration cited ties between bin Laden and Iraq. It also used such links as justification for attack on the pharmaceutical plant in the Sudan.

For the record, the Administration never claimed that Iraq directly participated in the 9/11 attacks. On September 16, 2001 days after the attack, Vice-President Dick Cheney was asked on by Tim Russert on Meet the Press “Do we have any evidence linking Saddam or Iraqis to this operation.” Cheney’s direction answer was simply, “No.” Bush himself stated last September, “…we’ve had no evidence that Saddam Hussein was involved with September 11th.” Perhaps the statements were too nuanced and equivocal for major media outlets to parse.

Chirac’s Lack of Class

Sunday, June 13th, 2004

“[A gentleman] is never mean or little in his disputes…. From a long-sighted prudence, he observes the maxim of the ancient sage, that we should ever conduct ourselves towards our enemy as if he were one day to be our friend.” — Victorian Station.

It is not clear whether having class or being a gentleman is an inherited trait or a learned behavior ingrained through years of instruction and practice. However, it is clear that some people have class and some do not and politics is not a place gentleman with class tend to aggregate. Yet, the former Senator Paul Wellstone from Minnesota was a gentleman who could argue passionately without malice. As his son said at Wellstone’s public memorial after his untimely death just before his potential re-election in October 2002, “it was never about Paul Wellstone. It was about the ideal, it was about the dream that he had.”

Unfortunately, Wellstone was unable to pass along the class and integrity with which he conducted his own life to some of his supporters. His public memorial degenerated from the celebration of a life well-lived to ugly and inappropriate partisanship marked with the jeering of political opponents who had come to pay their respects. The distasteful transformation of the service to a political rally offended many who watched the event on television. It was probably the reason that former Senator Walter Mondale, who assumed the Democratic nomination for Wellstone’s Senate seat, lost several days later to Republican Norm Coleman.

The recent public state funeral and remembrance of former President Ronald Reagan, another politician and gentleman, fortunately passed with little public rancor. Sure there are always small people with small attitudes like Ted Rall who said of Ronald Reagan, “I’m sure he’s turning crispy brown right about now.” Some Reagan haters populate the DemocraticUnderground.com, griping about the coverage of the Reagan funeral. But these voices were few and largely ignored. The public wanted to come together to honor the former president. Shrill voices echoed unnoticed, serving only to illustrate the anger and hatred of those who cannot wait until a person is buried before launching into vicious criticism.

On the other side of the aisle, Republicans generally refrained from taking overt political advantage of sympathy for Reagan. Save for some remarks that bordered on the political by Senator Ted Stevens of Alaska, Republicans conducted themselves properly. The eulogies at the funeral struck just the right tone: remembrance without excessive effusiveness.

All this generally splendid behavior by responsible people made the small and sour actions of French President Jacques Chirac that much more conspicuous. Many foreign leaders were in Georgia for the G8 summit this last week. Thus, for many leaders, attending Ronald Reagan’s funeral in Washington only required extending the US trip by one day and adding couple hours in the air. Many leaders did attend, including German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder and British Prime Minister Tony Blair. Other leaders came from as far away as Uganda and the Czech Republic. Even though French Foreign Minister Michel Barnier and former French President Valery Giscard d’Estaing did attend, Chirac quick get away can only be interpreted as a deliberate insult.

Despite being hobbled by minor strokes, the Iron Lady, former Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, not only took the long flight across the Atlantic against the orders of her doctors, she took the trouble to tape a eulogy she knew she would not be able to deliver. She then accompanied the President’s casket and family on a flight back to the burial in Simi Valley, California.

Now Thatcher was an exceptional case. She was both a contemporary and friend of Reagan. Nonetheless, her actions make Chirac’s refusal to attend the funeral appear so much more mean spirited. To borrow words from playwright Harold Pinter, Chirac “you’re no bloody gentleman.”

Reagan Slips the Surly Bonds

Sunday, June 6th, 2004

“These were golden years — when the American Revolution was reborn, when freedom gained new life, when America reached for her best.” — Ronald Reagan’s hope for his presidency from his Second Inaugural Address.

Ronald Reagan, an American hero, has just died. The reason he was an American hero is that Ronald Reagan believed that the phrase “American hero” is redundant. Ronald Reagan believed in America and the American people even when they were less than sure of themselves and American elites were despondent.

While others saw a sunset of American leadership and power, Ronald Reagan saw an eternal American dawn. Even when he realized his Alzheimer’s Disease would mark the “sunset of ..[his] life.” He knew “that for America there will always be a bright dawn ahead.”

While others saw an America in economic decline, mired with low employment, double-digit inflation, and historically high interest rates; Reagan saw an enormous, latent American economic strength that just needed to be released.

While others saw a mean spirited America suffering from a malaise of self-doubt, Reagan saw “a shining city on a hill” as a beacon to others in the world.

While others believed that America had lost the ideological argument and even welcomed the inexorable spread of Communism especially in South and Central America, Reagan saw the potential for democratic countries free from domination.

While others believed that we would have to accommodate ourselves to a world half-slave half-free and needed to employ deceitful euphemisms lest the Communists should “bury us,” Ronald Reagan was unafraid to call the “evil empire” by name.

While some saw a permanent wall separating East and West, Reagan stood boldly beneath Brandenburg Gate in Berlin and demanded, “Come here to this gate! Mr. Gorbachev, open this gate! Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall!”

Many people have forgotten precisely how much Democrats, the Left, and some in the Hollywood viciously vilified Reagan. He was portrayed, in the words of Clark Clifford, as an “amiable dunce,” whose determined opposition to the Soviet Union increased the risk of nuclear war. Indeed, the movie, The Day After (1983) suggested that Reagan’s policies might lead to nuclear destruction, much like the present day The Day After Tomorrow portrays environmental Armageddon.

When Reagan came into office he was ridiculed as a “cowboy” in the European press. When Reagan asked to deploy intermediate-range nuclear weapons in Europe to counter similar deployments by the Soviets, there were large angry protests, especially in Europe to stop the deployment. We know now that Europeans, especially the Germans ultimately, decided to allow the missile deployment, the Soviets balked, and ultimately all intermediate missiles were removed from Europe. Allied resolve ultimately reduced the nuclear threat in Europe. The Left and the European streets were wrong.

History has borne out that Reagan was largely right and the Left was largely wrong about the Soviet Union. Reagan was largely right and the Left was largely wrong about how to jump start a moribund economy. The current president can take great heart in the fact that many who were so wrong then are the same who are so critical of President George Bush now.

Franklin Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan were the two most consequential presidents of the last century. Some have even suggested that Reagan was an FDR conservative imbued at an early age with an abiding faith in American exceptionalism. Both leaders led countries out of economic hard times, both led the world to victory against implacable global enemies, and both lifted a demoralized country with the sheer buoyancy of ebullient personality and perpetual optimism.

It is difficult to explain to those who did not live through the 1970s just how deeply pessimistic Americans were about the future. At the end of the 1980s, Americans once again believed that America’ss best days were still ahead. As Reagan explained in 1992:

“A fellow named James Allen once wrote in his diary, `many thinking people believe America has seen its best days.’ He wrote that July 26, 1775. There are still those who believe America is weakening; that our glory was the brief flash of time called the 20th Century; that ours was a burst of greatness too bright and brilliant to sustain; that America’s purpose is past.”“My friends, I utterly reject those views. That’s not the America we know. We were meant to be masters of destiny, not victims of fate. Who among us would trade America’s future for that of any other country in the world? And who could possibly have so little faith in our America that they would trade our tomorrows for our yesterdays?”

Reagan spoke many eloquent words, some that were meant to console others at losses. None of those words were more moving and powerful than those he comforted us with at the lost of the astronauts on the shuttle Challenger. We can perhaps be forgiven for being presumptuous enough to paraphrase those sentiments here and console ourselves at our present loss.

Mr. Reagan, we will never forget you or the time you spent with us. We salute you and wave good-bye as you “slip the surly bonds of earth” to “touch the face of God.”

Editorial Discretion in Publishing Images

Sunday, May 30th, 2004

This Memorial Day is a particularly special one for two reasons: we are at war in Iraq and the memorial for the World War II generation is being dedicated on the national mall. Those Americans who stood fast against Fascist forces in World War II have been dubbed the “Greatest Generation.” Now there will always be arguments about what constitutes the “greatest.” How does the WW II generation compare to the generation of our Revolutionary War period? How about the 600,000 who died during the American Civil War? It is the sort of question that historians love to argue about. However, it is clear that part of what made the WW II era so unique was the sense of unity and commonality of purpose. There were sincere disagreements, whether to devote more resources to the war in Europe or to the Pacific theater. However, such disagreements never devolved to disarray and self doubt. Coverage by the press played an important role in maintaining this unity.

During WW II reporters often accompanied troops. Reporters saw their role in winning the war as consistent with their roles as reporters. It is no accident that press coverage was more favorable in the Iraq War when the journalists were embedded with the troops and implicitly shared the same experiences. While embedded in both wars, journalists were censored about details of time and location. However, during WW II, there were conscious efforts on the part of reporters to publish images of the war that did not undermine morale at home. That is part of the reason that you saw images of a flag raising at Mount Suribachi on Iwo Jima. It is not that there was a deliberate effort at distortion, to put only an heroic face on the war. Rather there was the realization that context and perspective were important and that graphic images of carnage might distort perspective. Appropriate selection of images and stories were seen as necessary for fidelity to the truth, not as an evasion of the facts.

Words are very powerful and can passionately describe events. However, images have a unique ability to capture an emotion or situation that can serve as a permanent and poignant metaphor for good or for ill. Moreover, during any war there are many images showing pain and joy, viciousness and valor, despondency and elation, anger and compassion. The images that are selected for broadcast and publication can serve to frame the political debate.

In World War II, for example, papers ran photographs of images like the one showing the marines at Iwo Jima . They did not (and perhaps they should have) shown Japanese-Americans looking out forlornly from behind barbed wire at internment camps. Both speak about an important truth of WW II. Raising the flag over Iwo Jima illustrates American courage, while the interment camps represent the worst in bigotry. The noblest images were allowed to frame WW II.

By contrast, the Vietnam War is now remembered in three negative images: the execution of a member of the Viet Cong by Nguyen Ngoc Loan of the South Vietnamese Army; the little girl running, after her clothes had been burned off by napalm; and Americans scurrying onto the last helicopter leaving the American Embassy at the end of American involvement.

Journalists and editors have a duty, of course, to report the facts and they are unrestrained in their efforts to do so. However, just because the press is unrestrained does not mean they do not have an obligation to show restraint. There are many facts and many photographs that can be assembled to tell a story. Many different stories can be told by combining the raw data of facts and images. And while the stories and images may all be accurate, without proper context and proportion they may not, in a fuller sense, be true.

It is the thesis here that the saturation airing of photographs showing prison abuse at Abu Ghraib prison are an attempt to drive public sentiment out of proportion to the entire context of events in Iraq. Breaking the story on the abuse at the Abu Ghraib prison probably did not require publishing the images. Almost certainly, a written or spoken story would have provided the facts without the emotional sensationalism of the photographs. If imagery was necessary to draw appropriate attention to the issue (remember the military had months before publicly announced the investigation of abuse charges), certainly only a couple of photographs needed to be shown. We did not need the parade of images day after day: images that may put American lives in danger and make negotiation with allies and adversaries more difficult. Is it not right for the news media to weigh these considerations in their coverage?

Were these images repeatedly broadcast and published under the pecuniary pressures of ratings and circulation? Were new images dribbled out daily as a part of considered journalistic judgment or used as means to make an anti-war or anti-military statement?

In due course, there will be many words documenting the Iraq War. However, much of what we remember will be determined by images permanently imprinted on our minds now. For the Iraq War, will the images remembered be those of the Abu Ghraib prison abuse, those of the statue of Saddam Hussein being pulled down by joyous Iraqis, or those of bones being exhumed from Saddam’s mass graves that claimed hundreds of thousands of Iraqis? Much depends on what pictures a thrust before us day after day, the choices made by editors and journalist who are said to be writing the “first draft of history.”

Personal Biases in News Consumption

Sunday, May 23rd, 2004

Regardless of any biases, the national media outlets in the US do not generally misstate facts. If the facts are demonstrably incorrect, a correction usually follows. European papers tend to follow this example.

The Daily Mirror made a terrible mistake when it published what turned out to be faked photographs purporting to show abuse of Iraqi prisoners by British troops. Regardless of how anxious the Daily Mirror is to find evidence to discredit Prime Minister Tony Blair’s decision to join a Coalition in Iraq, the Mirror editors were probably too credulous in believing what they now claim was a “calculated and malicious hoax.” Perhaps the Mirror made its anti-government bias a little too conspicuous when it suggested that the government was deliberately calling into question the legitimacy of the photographs because it “likes to produce a scapegoat to distract attention when it is in a crisis.”

In the end the Mirror did the right thing: it apologized for publishing the photographs and dismissed Piers Morgan, the editor responsible. The really unique situation is that Morgan remained stubbornly unrepentant and disturbingly unconcerned about the veracity of the photographs. He dismissed the fact that the photographs were faked by noting that they nonetheless “accurately illustrated the reality about the appalling conduct of some British troops.” The journalistic ethos, at least in the United States, fortunately still has residual respect for facts.

Media biases are typically not evident in deliberately false statements. Rather, it creeps in indirectly and mostly unintentionally via a bias by agenda. Editors have a finite amount of space and resources to devote to coverage. They, therefore, have to make judgments about what stories are more important, more deserving, or just plain more interesting. It is in deciding between priorities in coverage that even editors and journalists who genuinely seek to be fair can unconsciously allow their own perspectives to color reporting.

This difference in agenda was clearer than usual in the coverage this week of the discovery of an unmarked Iraqi artillery shell containing deadly sarin nerve gas. On the day that the information was released, there was some coverage of the finding, but certainly not the saturation coverage granted the prisoner abuse scandal. The next day, Fox News had found military sources confirming that the tests for sarin gas in the field had been confirmed by further tests. The story was a headline all day at Fox News. CNN did not mention this on its home page and neither did the Washington Post. The NY Times had a small link at the bottom of its page to the story. Apparently the fact that New York was still in the running for the 2012 Olympics and that the actor Tony Randall died were all, in the collective judgments of the NY Times, CNN, and the Washington Post, significantly more important than the first confirmation of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq after more than a year. The only way to guard against such differences in agenda is to maintain a truly diverse editorial staff, real intellectual and political diversity.

The bias of agenda based on different editorial perspectives is a well-documented and discussed phenomenon. However, what is less well understood is the bias in news consumption. We all have the natural proclivity to focus on stories that confirm our world view. Hence, those against the Iraq War follow in detail the prisoner abuse scandal, perhaps secretly hoping that the abuse was not isolated and that high officials in the Bush Administration are implicated. While responsible people will not make such an accusation without sufficient evidence, they will still eagerly consume stories like the ones in the New Yorker by Seymour Hersh that suggest some culpability on the part of Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld in prisoner abuse.

Some follow such stories hoping to be politically vindicated. Yet, it would seem that the proper perspective for an American would be to hope that the abuse scandal is isolated, both to redeem American values and make life a little safer for innocent American soldiers. However embarrassing it might be to concede it publicly, Bush opponents are not above a little schadenfreude at the prisoner abuse scandal, regardless of the cost to American prestige and risk to American lives. Such people should ask themselves whether they will be disappointed or excited to find out that prisoner abuse is pervasive. I know of no way to demonstrate this, but am willing to assert than many who are carefully scouring the news for information that Rumsfeld is somehow connect to prisoner abuse are not devoting the same study to scandal in the United Nation’s Oil-for-Food program, or evidence of operational links between Al Qaeda, or the discovery of nuclear material in Jordan.

Similarly those who would prefer to see at least one of the reasons for the war more fully vindicated are more likely to follow with rapt attention stories lending credence to the WMD threat posed by Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. Though the prudent would caution against grasping too tightly at the latest discovery of sarin gas artillery shell, would it not really be a cause of celebration to learn with certainty Hussein disposed of his WMD stockpiles shortly before the war? Would it not be better to be assured that the WMD could not fall into the hands of terrorists — terrorists with no scruples against use of such weapons against civilian populations? Some want to believe that their pre-war assessments of WMD, yet evidence supporting such a conclusion might prove to be more destabilizing. Do we really want a world where some WMD have been taken to unknown haunts? Some should ask themselves if they would be disappointed to find out that all WMD stockpiles were destroyed before the war so that the threat of war was sufficient to disarm Saddam (even if we didn’t know at the time). Of course, for those who accepted pre-war WMD assessments, there is sill a graceful way out: These WMD stockpiles could be found and disposed of now.

We are all subject to ugly, quiet feelings. We would rather nestle in the comfort of feeling right, even it that means others would be less well off. From a political perspective, the prospects of the party out of power vary inversely with the prospects of the country as a whole. In this case, the more destabilized Iraq becomes and the slower the economy grows, the better off Democrats are. It is an unfortunate position to be in, but there is no escaping the logic of the situation. There are times when people find themselves grasping their convictions firmly, while at the same time having to hope that they are wrong.