Author Archive

Libby Gets Indicted

Sunday, October 30th, 2005

Recently, I. Lewis “Scooter” Libby, resigned as Chief of Staff for Vice-President Dick Cheney after being indicted for perjury and obstruction of justice.  The indictment stems from an investigation surrounding the leaking of Valerie Plame’s identity as a CIA employee. Valerie Plame is the wife of Joseph Wilson, critic of the Bush Administration. Joseph Wilson asserts that the revelation of his wife’s employment was retaliation for his debunking of the claim in the President’s State of the Union address that “The British government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa.”

There are a couple of critical problems with Wilson’s argument.  The first is that the President’s words are absolutely true and to this day, the British government stands by the intelligence assessment the President cited. Second, Wilson’s oral brief to the CIA upon returning from his short trip to Niger reported that Iraq had tried to obtain uranium yellowcake from Niger, though Niger declined Iraq’s overtures. The CIA believed Wilson’s report substantiated suspicions about Iraqi intentions. Third, Wilson self-aggrandizingly told the press that his report had debunked forgeries about Niger uranium sales. These papers had turned up in Italy. The timing for this claim of Wilson does not tally. The US did not come into possession of those forgeries until months after Wilson’s trip and report. This timeline can be found in the 9/11 Commission Report.

In 2003, Wilson was polluting political waters with inaccurate information and the Administration was clearly trying to deal with Wilson’s charges. Wilson claimed that he was sent to Niger on behalf of the Vice-President. The natural question was why Wilson. He was a critic of the Administration and a Gore supporter. He was not qualified in proliferation matters. Why would the Vice-President send him?  He didn’t. In the course of refuting Wilson, presumably Scooter Libby and perhaps others said the Wilson’s wife, an employee of the CIA, was responsible for the trip.  This was repeatedly denied by Wilson, whose pride as a former ambassador may have been wounded by the need for nepotism.  The 9/11 Commission unequivocally concluded that Ms. Plame recommended Wilson for the trip.

There was concern in 2003 that perhaps the identity of a CIA employee at been illegally compromised, but that particular charge seems not to have borne scrutiny. Libby, if he is found guilty, committed the crime obstructing an investigation premised on crime for which there is no prosecution.

If Libby did perjure himself or obstruct justice, then he should be appropriately punished.  Conservatives and Republicans should not be lured into the Clinton defense that perjury and obstruction of justice do not count if the underlying crime seems incommensurate with the penalties for perjury or obstruction of justice. For the answer as to Libby’s guilt we will have to await the results of a trial or plea bargain.

It should also be remembered that at this point, there only seems to be the prosecution of a person with regard to an issue orthogonal to lack of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. The Left continues to push the narrative that Bush lied about WMD to get the US into Iraq. For that to be true, President Clinton, Senator Hillary Clinton, the Senate Intelligence Committee, the French, and the Germans would have to abetted in the lie, an unlikely alliance. The 9/11 Commission Report concluded as much, yet the Left still persists in its mendacity.

The Left had hoped that the Libby scandal would allow one more opportunity to peddle their deliberately misleading narrative about the origins of the war. Now it seems that the investigation has narrowed. The prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald has said as much:

“This indictment is not about the war. This indictment’s not about the propriety of the war. And people who believe fervently in the war effort, people who oppose it, people who have mixed feelings about it should not look to this indictment for any resolution of how they feel or any vindication of how they feel.”

The Left does not really care about Scooter Libby or Valerie Plame. It only cares about undermining Bush.  Who knows? The may succeed one day.  But it hasn’t happened yet and the frustration will likely to increase the vitriol around the Libby case.

Liberal Recognizes Flaws in Roe v. Wade

Sunday, October 23rd, 2005

Occasionally Conservatives repeat themselves over and over again and it seems that no one is listening or at least the point is not fully appreciated. Then, when one least expects it, the message leaks through. For this we have, the reliably Left-wing Richard Cohen,  a pundit with the Washington Post, to thank. Conservatives have often said that the issue of abortion is really two issues that have been treated as one. The result of the failure to separate these issues is confusion, anger, and a judicial nomination process for the federal courts that has been deformed into a political slug fest, complete with character assassination and rhetorical hyperbole.

The first question is what status and what protections ought to be afforded a fetus.  At what point from conception to birth should a fetus be accorded rights associated with personhood?  The second question is what does the US Constitution say, if anything, about a right to an abortion.

The Conservative judicial position has always been that Roe v. Wade was wrongly decided as a matter of law.  While there is certainly a right of privacy in the Constitution, especially as embodied in the Forth Amendment’s protections “against unreasonable searches and seizures,” there is no right to procure whatever medical services one is willing to pay for.  The jurisprudence that gave us Roe v. Wade was entirely arbitrary.  There is no explicit or implied right that prevents state governments from regulating the circumstances and conditions of medical procedures.  Indeed, states and the federal government do so all the time, with nary a Constitutional whimper.

There are requirements on the length of hospital stays for certain procedures and limits on what drugs doctors can prescribe. Decisions on medical procedures are not the exclusive province of doctors and their patients. These requirements may be wise or foolish. They may not conform with a libertarian minimalist approach to government intrusion, but medicine is a business like others, provided to the general public, and there is no constitutional impediment to regulation. In Roe v. Wade the court simply decided that abortion ought to be legal and barely gave the Constitution a serious thought before the Court legislated its preferences.

Now even some Liberals are willing to appreciate the nature of the two arguments. As Cohen now concedes, the logic of Roe v. Wade “has not held up … It seems more fiat than argument.” Cohen has come to appreciate that the question of abortion ought to be decided by the public and not dictated by Courts.  Conservatives take heart, Apparently, he has been listening. Cohen is self-described as pro-choice, and finally sees the necessity of making the case for abortion to the public, to gain the legitimacy afforded from the assent of the governed.

If Roe v. Wade were overturned and states were left to their own devices, most would permit abortions of some type, particularly in the first trimester. Later-term abortions would be more regulated and minors would probably have to obtain the consent of a responsible adult (parent, guardian, or judge) to obtain an abortion.  There are some states that would be far more restrictive.  Under such a change, pro-abortion groups could devote their resources to providing transportation for women in states with restrictive abortion laws to travel to states where abortion is liberalized.

The first and primary question about abortion, the status of the fetus, has not been debated. The arbitrary decision in Roev. Wade suspended substantive debate on the core issue of the status of a fetus and focused the public on Constitutional arguments and on extraordinary efforts to influence the selection of federal judges. The past thirty years could have been spent in a serious national debate conducted state-by-state, a thoroughly deliberative process. Instead, we have acrimony and a damaged Constitutional jurisprudence. With the prospect of a Court tilted to the Right, the Left is now beginning to appreciate that it will have to appeal to the public and will not be able to foist a decision upon them.

Delay and Earle – Rounds One and Two

Sunday, October 9th, 2005

Even those who pay only casual attention to the news know by now that Representative Tom Delay from Texas, in accordance with House rules, stepped down as House Majority Leader, after having been indicted by Austin District Attorney Ronnie Earle. The charges center on alleged campaign finance law violations. Known as the “Hammer,” by both fans and critics for treating every political predicament like a nail, Delay claims that he is the victim of a politically-motivated legal assault.

There are at least three possible outcomes for this legal conflict. First, it may turn out that Ronnie Earle has a strong case and manages to convict Delay. Delay’s political career would be over. Political comebacks after a conviction are virtually impossible. Former Mayor of Washington, DC, Marion Berry may be the best known exception. Second, Earle may have a sufficiently strong case that lasts for a long time, all the while bleeding Delay of political power even if acquittal is the final result. Third, the case could be dismissed or acquittal may come quickly, essentially vindicating Delay, buttressing the argument that Earle’s prosecution was without merit and politically motivated.

The first and second outcomes would impact Republicans negatively, but corruption in politics will happen. One more politician convicted of wrong doing will not have very much of a long term impact and may be salutary. In many ways, the third outcome, although beneficial for Republicans, would deal the biggest blow to the republic. It would mean that an out-of-control local prosecutor could affect the leadership of the national legislature based on frivolous charges.

The real current problem is the lack of balanced coverage by the mainstream press organs. The indictment of Delay was duly recorded. Though a Conservatively inclined ear might have detected a note a glee in the reporting on Delay, relevant facts were provided.

However, since the September 28 indictment a number of new an important facts have emerged, which have largely been ignored. The Washington Post has not reported on Delay since October 2. After the initial coverage of the indictment, the New York Times neglected reporting on the indictment until October 8. They reluctantly reported that Delay’s lawyers formally charged Earle with prosecutorial misconduct, without going into the nature of the charges against Earle. It is hard to believe that in a similar situation, a flamboyant Republican DA using extraordinary means to prosecute a Liberal Democratic leader in Congress, these two papers would have remained so silent.

What has happened since the indictment?  First the foreman of the grand jury William Gibson conceded that his decision to indict had nothing to do with the facts presented to the grand jury, but with his anger at political ads. Here is a short excerpt from an interview on KBLJ radio:

Grand Jury Foreman William Gibson: All this all came out way before I was on the grand jury, these mailers were in your paper, in Austin paper, everyone else’s paper, they flooding the market around here. But those were way before I ever went on the grand jury and my decision was based on upon those (the TAB ads,) not what might have happened in the grand jury room…

KLBJ host: Oh. Ok. Your mind was made up after you learned about the ads.

William Gibson: Right, those ads, way back. telling people how, so-called freedom of the speech deal, and I looked at it and they are just telling people go vote for that person, go vote for that person.

KLBJ host: So they didn’t have to persuade you in the grand jury with any evidence, you already…

William Gibson: That was already public knowledge there and way back (unintelligible)…they stated their positions and I could state my position by say I don’t like that.

This does not represent the sort of fairness, one normally expects from a grand juror and one can reasonably call into question the evenhandedness of the indictment process.

Second, there have been questionable and extraordinary legal maneuverings by Earle since the original indictment. After there was a technical issue arising out of the first indictment, Earle rushed back to obtain a new indictment on a slightly different alleged transgression surrounding the same campaign finance issues of the original indictment. The grand jury reported “No Bill” indicating no indictment would be returned. The Associated Press reports that Earle was visibly angry at the obstinate jurors. The reported incident is not consistent with a dispassionate DA. Frustrated, Earle rushed a newly impaneled to return an additional indictment against Delay.

None of these events proves that Earle is out of control and Delay could still be guilty even if Earle is overly aggressive in his legal pursuit of Delay. However, people deserved to know about the extraordinary events surrounding the indictment of the former House Majority Leader. The main stream media have failed news consumers once again. At the same time, these traditional news sources fecklessly wonder why fewer and fewer pay much attention to them.

The Price of Miers

Tuesday, October 4th, 2005

One of President George W. Bush’s endearing qualities is his willingness, perhaps even perverse eagerness, to do what he thinks is right without regard to the political consequences. Although he does tact with the political wind when necessary, on core issues: the War in Iraq or his obligation to nominate judges for the Supreme Court, Bush seems to charge off in an independent direction. The selection of White House counsel Harriet Miers for the US Supreme Court may prove to be one such decision that comes back to haunt the President.

Ms. Miers has little public record against which to measure her judicial philosophy. George Bush is most comfortable dealing with people one-on-one and his close association with Miers has apparently convinced him that she shares his judicial philosophy. For the purposes of argument let us assume the Bush has an accurate read on Miers. Let’s assume that over the next 20 years, Ms. Miers out-Scalias Judge Antonin Scalia and makes Judge Clarence Thomas look as Liberal as Judge David Souter. Let’s assume she steers the Court squarely to the right powered by an engine of brilliantly written opinions for the Court. This represents a long-term advantage for the country and an important legacy for Bush. However, much the same could have been accomplished by another pick.

Assuming that Bush wished to bow at the altar of identity politics and wanted to appoint a woman to fill the seat vacated by Sandra Day O’Connor, there is a bench of female judges with clearly Conservative judicial records from Judges Priscilla R. Owen to Judge Janice Rogers Brown that would have enraged Democrats and elated Conservatives. President Bush has manufactured a “perfect storm” to move the Supreme Court to the right. Republicans have a strong majority in the Senate and have maneuvered Democrats into a political corner making it difficult to sustain a filibuster. Bush have could pick almost anyone he wanted, and Conservative lips were drooling in anticipation.

Now Bush picks a virtual unknown. He has to persuade fellow Conservatives that she is indeed picking a Conservative. Moreover, Conservatives are right to want a rock-solid judicial Conservative whose judicial philosophy has remained consistent over time. It is too easy for casual Conservatives to melt under the Liberal spotlight of Washington, where Conservatives are often lonely voices.

Even if Bush proves prescient in his choice of Miers, he will likely pay a price twelve months from now in the mid-term elections. It takes time for us to really know about a judge. Baring some spectacularly Conservative decisions led by Miers in the next year, Conservatives will have to swallow disappointment in grudgingly and reluctantly supporting Bush’s choice. Mid-term elections are often decided by the energy of partisans. Depressed and disillusioned Conservatives will not have the sort of energy required for a strong turnout in the mid-term elections. Miers had better prove to be as Conservative as Bush says she is because she is coming at a very dear political price.

Politicans Turned Into Journalists

Sunday, October 2nd, 2005

In 1997, the attractive former Republican Congresswoman Susan Molinari was paid considerably more than her Congressional salary to host CBS News Saturday Morning. The chattering classes were twisted into a pretzel of confusion, consternation, and indignation. Here was a clearly partisan person, a Republican no less, who would be co-hosting a news-entertainment show. How could she be credible? How could she be fair? Would we be getting the GOP news? Would she have to recuse herself from every serious discussion?

Of course, the faux fury evidenced a double standard. A number of Democratic operatives had already jumped across the fairly narrow divide between political advocacy and journalism with nary a peep of protest. One of the better known and most respected people who has successfully made the transition is Tim Russert. Russert served on the Senate staff of Democratic Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan and has been host of NBC’s Meet the Press since 1991. Russert has earned a reputation as a tough, but fair interviewer.

Molinari never attracted enough viewers to last long on CBS, but that has not stopped others from transitioning from politics to journalism. The notion that a partisan cannot be a good journalist rests on the false assumption that conventional journalists are apolitical.

No serious person can cover politics as a journalist and not develop opinions and perspectives. These views cannot help but inform journalistic coverage. The best one can hope for is that journalists are sufficiently introspective to try to be balanced in their reporting. The one advantage of having a known partisan as a journalist is that at least the perspective from which that person reports is apparent. News consumers are thus free to weigh this potential bias with the information presented.

Another partisan that seemed to have made a successful transition from partisanship to journalism is George Stephanopoulos. Stephanopoulos was the White House Communications Director for President Clinton and is now the host of ABC’s This Week.

Recently, Stephanopoulos interviewed his old boss, one-on-one. One might have thought that ABC would blush, at least a little, in embarrassment to have a former president being interviewed by his former chief Communications Director, the person hired to handle the press, in a straight news interview. The lineup has the outward credibility of a political infomercial.

Stephanopoulos has generally been earnest and sincerely attempts to be balanced. This is what makes his performance when interviewing former President Bill Clinton so disappointing. We have come to expect that Clinton would violate the polite and respectful convention of not commenting on a successor President’s policies. It is no surprise that Clinton dissembles and deliberately misleads in conspicuous ways. However, one would have hoped that Stephanopoulos would have called Clinton on a few of his more outrageous remarks.

In the September 18, 2005 interview with Stephanopoulos, Clinton criticized President Bush’s Iraq policy while at the same time rewriting history by claiming, that prior to the liberation of Iraq, there was “no evidence that there were any weapons of mass destruction.” The variance of this statement now with statements he and his Administration made in the past are almost too numerous to list.

In 1998, Clinton said, “The community of nations may see more and more of the very kind of threat Iraq poses now: a rogue state with weapons of mass destruction, ready to use them or provide them to terrorists. If we fail to respond today, Saddam and all those who would follow in his footsteps will be emboldened tomorrow.”

William Cohen, Clinton’s Secretary of Defense, was “absolutely convinced that there are weapons…” He went on to say, “I saw evidence back in 1998 when we would see the inspectors being barred from gaining entry into a warehouse for three hours with trucks rolling up and then moving those trucks out.”

Clinton’s Secretary of State Madeline Albright told the country that “Saddam’s goal … is to achieve the lifting of UN sanctions while retaining and enhancing Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction programs.”

Hussein never complied with weapon’s inspectors and never accounted for stockpiles of anthrax his government originally conceded having. The present assertion by Clinton that there was “no evidence” then of weapons of mass destruction is disingenuous at best. Clinton’s fidelity to the truth is a measure of his character and he rarely fails to disappoint. From Stephanopoulos we had expected more. Perhaps Stephanopoulos was too awed to challenge his former boss to reconcile his present statement with previous ones. Perhaps Stephanopoulos was too respectful to confront the former president’s contradictory statements. In any case, the journalist in Stephanopoulos failed and tarnished whatever respect he has been able to earn.

Repression and Routers

Sunday, September 25th, 2005

Shi Tao was an editor with the Chinese publication Dungdai Shangba. He was a recently sentenced to 10 years in prison for communicating with foreigners via e-mail. His crime was “illegally providing state secrets to foreign entities,” a common charge in China used to suppress independent journalism. What makes Tao’s case particularly worrisome is that Tao was tracked down via his supposedly anonymous Yahoo e-mail account with the cooperation of Yahoo’s operations in China. Jerry Yang, one of the founders of Yahoo, as well as the entire corporation, has come under criticism in the Internet community for their cooperation. Yahoo’s defense is that they have no choice but to comply with the laws of the countries in which they operate.

Yahoo’s position is not courageous or noble, but it is hard to articulate a realistic alternative corporate position for Yahoo. The option of all major free e-mail suppliers like Yahoo, Google, and MSN pulling operations out of China would not seem viable. Even if these companies were willing to forgo such a lucrative market, many Chinese would be left with far fewer e-mail options and these would likely be even more controlled by the Chinese government

While it is clear that cooperation with the Chinese government’s efforts to intimidate journalists facilitates repression, there are other cases that are not so clear. Should, for example, Yahoo cooperate with the US government, presumably acting with court authorization, to track down e-mailers using Yahoo to conspire to commit a terrorist act? On one extreme, one would not want Yahoo to cooperate with Chinese repression of journalism and at the other extreme we would expect cooperation against terrorism. In the close cases, it might not be wise to have Yahoo or other corporations deciding when cooperation would be warranted. Perhaps, the best we could expect from Internet providers like Yahoo is that they provide tools to help maintain privacy. Perhaps, if they incorporated encryption by default in their e-mail services, they could do far more to protect personal liberty.

The old conventional wisdom was that political and economic liberties are inseparable. If a government tried to allow economic liberty to release market forces and to grow wealth, it would inevitably lead to the destruction of barriers protecting political repression. Modern, economically free societies require transparency and rapid communication. It is difficult to maintain political control under such circumstances. This conventional wisdom held that putting political censors between people, slows down communication and is incompatible with the rapid pace of modern economies. Perhaps, this conventional wisdom is being shattered by rapidly evolving technology.

China is on the forefront of marrying a modern economy with rigorous political orthodoxy. They are already using their control over the Internet infrastructure to block out political apostasy. If a user points a browser to a prohibited URL, the user receives a benign-appearing “File not found” message. It is difficult to distinguish between the suppression of free speech from ordinary network failures; censorship with a gentler, less aggravating face.

Up until this point, the level of political censorship was limited by the technical capacity to search for offending key words and to block offending IP addresses. To help in enforcement, China employs legions of Internet police. With a planned new upgrade in their communications infrastructure and a new generation of smart routers from Cisco and other manufactures, China is looking forward to a greater capacity for censorship. If censorship can be carried out efficiently at the router level, then perhaps it will be possible to have political censorship without slowing down the commercial communications necessary for a modern economy. Even more depressing, as manufacturers develop new censorship hardware for China, the technology will be available to others, less able to fund the development of such new capability, but certainly willing to employ it if available.

In the face of this development, perhaps there are some glimmers of hope. The personal interactions between people in and out of China, the travel incumbent in commercial societies, will inevitably expose the Chinese to the habits of free people. The willingness to question authority and a personal ease associated with knowing no one is listening over one’s shoulder with inevitably infect Chinese culture. Indeed perhaps, it is these same qualities that insure success in the market. The economic success of those who possess such a disposition may leak over into their political dispositions as well.

It is a race between improvements in censorship technology and the inherent need for freedom and openness, coupled with the evolution of technological counter measures. The winner is not yet clear.

Reference:

Cherry, Steven, “The Net Effect,” IEEE Spectrum, 38-44, June, 2005.


Frank Monaldo — Please e-mail comments to frank@monaldo.net

This page last updated on: 09/25/2005 19:55:57

Wrong Words at a Bad Time

Sunday, September 11th, 2005

Almost faster than the response of Coast Guard helicopters in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, the Left mounted its attack on the Bush Administration. Nothing is too hurtful that it cannot be cynically exploited by the Left’s perpetual anger with President George W. Bush.

The very first critical barrage was that because of Iraq, there would not be enough National Guard troops to help out in the aftermath Hurricane Katrina. It turned out there are more than enough troops and that their experience in Iraq suited them to dealing with Hobbesian State that some areas of New Orleans had descended to under decades of Democratic Party leadership.

Then there was the instantly responsive Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. who raced to press blaming Hurricane Katrina on the Bush Administration’s failure to accept the Kyoto Protocol. Bush gets too much credit for this. After all, the Senate, which requires a two-thirds majority to pass a treaty, rejected Kyoto 93-0. There were a lot of Democrats included in those 93 votes.

Even given legitimate and thoughtful concerns about the effects of global warming, the association of any particular storm with a long-term climate trend is essentially unknowable and irresponsible. Moreover, if people like Kennedy had not vigorously opposed the extension of civilian nuclear power and if the US had developed nuclear power to the same extent as it is used in France for electricity generation, we would have exceeded the reduction in carbon dioxide emissions mandated by Kyoto. If we emit more common dioxide than we need to, the environmental Left is one reason.

Initial impressions of the response to the devastation pointed to lethargy on the part of federal authorities. Though this critique is apt, the more we learn about what happened after Katrina, the clearer it is that state and local officials may have been the key impediments to a more timely humanitarian response. Calls for evacuation came late despite accurate storm predictions. Once a mandatory evacuation order was given, state and local officials did not follow their own plans by evacuating hospitals and using buses to transport those without transportation to shelters on higher ground.

Immediately after the storm winds subsided and before portions of levies broke inundating streets and making them impassible, the Red Cross was trying to deliver truck loads of water and meals to the Super Dome and Convention Center in New Orleans. T hey were prevented from delivery by the Louisiana Department of Homeland Security. Apparently, the Super Dome and the Convention Center were “shelters of last resors” and Louisiana did not want to encourage people to stay there by sending supplies. In retrospect that was a grievous error. Indeed, it was the images of people suffering at those two venues that painted a picture of a city out of control.

There will undoubtedly be many investigations detailing mistakes made at all levels of government and by citizens themselves. Some mistakes will have been caused by inadequate systems in place, others caused by incompetence or stupidity. There will be political recriminations, as there should be. Politics, as cacophonous and chaotic as it is, is our collective way of sorting out issues.

However, when political recriminations unnecessarily and indiscriminately undermine public comity and exacerbate race relations they become destructive. Over time, the nation is healing from a long history that included slavery and racial discrimination. Scraping the scabs off such healing for political gain is despicable.

One might dismiss sharks trolling far off the mainstream like rapper Kanye West who asserted that the problems of getting aid to people in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina was because, “George Bush doesn’t care about black people.” What about supposedly responsible spokesman?

Never one to be rhetorically outdone, Howard Dean, Chairman of the Democratic National Committee argues that, “Race was a factor in the death toll from Hurricane Katrina…” Those who are economically better off will generally fair better in most situations and there remains too great a correlation between economic well-being and race. However, to focus on race at this point does not appeal to the better angels of our nature. It divides rather than unites and nurtures despair rather than hope.

Great challenges can reveal the nobility in people. New Orleans may arise from this catastrophe an invigorated city, united as a community, and better fortified against natural calamity. Ugly words will not help.

Iraq and Al Qaeda Connection

Monday, September 5th, 2005

Conventional wisdom, once set, is difficult to budge even under the pressure of persuasive proof to the contrary. This is especially true when the conventional wisdom reinforces the common narrative of the main stream media. One axiom of conventional wisdom is that there was no relationship between Saddam Hussein’s Iraq regime and al Qaeda. The existence of a relationship would increase the probability that Iraq might provide logistical or even chemical weapons expertise to al Qaeda. On the other hand, the absence of any relationship between al Qaeda and Iraq would minimize the potential threat posed by Iraq to the United States.

Al Qaeda and its leaders Usama bin Laden and Ayman al Zawahiri issued a fatwa in 1998 declaring war on the United States, urging Muslim’s to kill Americans wherever possible. Indeed, it was the “individual duty for every Muslim who can do it in any country in which it is possible to do it.” Pursuant to this fatwa, al Qaeda operatives managed to kill 3,000 Americans with terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001.

The conventional wisdom that al Qaeda and Saddam’s Iraq were not allied or cooperating was buttressed by the preliminary, tentatively and carefully worded conclusion of the 9/11 Commission’s that it could find evidence of no “collaborative operational relationship” between the two. However, as is want with media shorthand the headlines became, “9/11 panel sees no link between Iraq, al-Qaida.”

In the political aftermath of the Iraq War, it is often conveniently forgotten that the Clinton Administration and other Democrats first made the strong case for an Al Qaeda and Iraqi relationship.

Before the Iraq War, Senate Intelligence Committee Vice-Chairman, Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) saw a “substantial connection between Iraq and al Qaeda.” Senator Joseph Lieberman (D-CN) reported that, “I’ve seen a lot of evidence on this. There are extensive contacts between Saddam Hussein’s government and al Qaeda and other terrorist groups.” Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY) “[Saddam Hussein] has also given aid, comfort, and sanctuary to terrorists, including al Qaeda members, though there is apparently no evidence of his involvement in the terrible events of September 11, 2001.” The Clinton Administration’s legal indictment in Federal Court against bin Laden in 1998 claimed, “Al Qaeda reached an understanding with the government of Iraq that al Qaeda would not work against that government, and that on particular projects, specifically including weapons development, al Qaeda would work cooperatively with the government of Iraq.”

Additional consideration of the evidence included in the 9/11 Commission Report plus the availability of new evidence that has come to light since the liberation of Iraq paint a picture of a level of cooperation between Iraq and al Qaeda that may have indeed endangered US security. This does not mean that Iraq Intelligence was operationally involved in the specific events of September 11. This straw man claim has never been made. However, it does mean that the level of cooperation and contacts of Saddam’s Iraq and Al Qaeda were sufficient that it would be irresponsible to ignore or dismiss it as insubstantial.

Much of this emerging picture is visible from public documents and has been pulled together by Stephen Hayes in Connections. A lot of dots are being connected and new dots are emerging to complete a picture of the pre-war Iraqi an al Qaeda connection. Here are a few of these dots:

The most conspicuous evidence of Iraq and al Qaeda cooperation is al Zawahiri himself. Al Zawahiri who, with bin Laden helped issued the fatwa against the United States, was in Afghanistan with al Qaeda fighting the US and was injured. He fled to pre-war Iraq and has subsequently led the insurgency against the Coalition and the new Iraqi government. Al Zawahiri was no stranger to Baghdad. He consulted with Iraqi officials during a visit in 1998 and received $300,000 for his efforts. It takes an ideologically-blinded eye not to see at least professional terrorist courtesy between Iraq and al Qaeda in al Zawahiri’s Iraqi visit, his refuge in Iraq after fighting in Afghanistan, and his present leadership of the Iraqi insurgency.

The US government has released information from interrogations of detainees from Guantanamo Bay, Cuba indicating an al Qaeda detainee had traveled to Pakistan with an Iraqi intelligence agent to blow up the US and British embassies. That plot was thwarted.

Captured documents from the Iraqi Intelligence Service indicate that they regarded al Qaeda members as useful assets. One Iraq Intelligence Service memo urged ties to al Qaeda and specifically averred that, “Cooperation between the two organizations should be allowed to develop freely through discussion and agreements.”

The Iraqis provided asylum for Abdul Rahman Yasin who was involved in the 1993 al Qaeda bombing of the World Trade Center. Iraq did not plan that 1993 World Trade Center bombing, but was apparently happy to protect someone who did.

Unwinding the intricate ties and relationships of intelligence services and terrorist organizations is always going to be a difficult an unsatisfying task. There is no clear way to assign accurate weights to the information found. The credibility of sources is usually murky. Conclusions must always be tentative. Often the patterns that appear to emerge are at least as much a function of the internal narratives of the viewers as of the data. Nonetheless, the burden of proof now appears to have shifted from those who were always concerned about the dangers of relationships between Iraqi intelligence and al Qaeda to those dismiss the pre-war Iraq-Al Qaeda relationship.

The Power to Decide

Sunday, August 28th, 2005

There are many important and controversial issues — complex legal, medical, ethical, moral, and religious — surrounding abortion. There are strong, well-founded positions on both sides that arise from considerable deliberation and debate. However, with respect to a girl who has not yet reached the age of majority, it is the opinion of many Liberals and certainly of the Left-wing of the Democratic Party, that she is capable of reaching a considered decision with respect to obtaining an abortion without the involvement of her parents. The Left believes that a girl with an inconvenient pregnancy can reach a measured decision about an abortion without her parents consent and without even their notification.

Now there are extremely abusive situations, for example, where a pregnancy may be the result of incest, when notification might lead to further abuse. There might be emergency medical situations where parental notification would be impractical. Laws attempting to institute a protocol for parental notification, invariably include exceptions for such extreme situations.

No, the Liberal embrace of abortion is so fierce they are willing to allow young girls to make difficult decisions with out the aid and comfort of their families. After all, they might reach a decision the Left would not prefer. Do you think the Left would be concerned about parental notification, if parents inevitably encouraged reluctant underage girls to have abortions? In such cases, they would make notification mandatory.

Now compare this situation with the rhetoric of the Left concerning the Iraq War. Actor Richard Dreyfuss recently commented that, “No one should come for my son and tell my son to go and kill someone or put himself in harm’s way unless I understand and agree to the need.”

Part of the incongruity of this statement is associated with the fact that many members of the feeble and aging Left seemed trapped in a time warp. Within the confines of this temporal hiccup, people re-live 1968 over and over again in an endless loop, when young men were drafted for war. We are now protected by an army of highly-motivated volunteers and the Left just has not been able to understand it. They reflexively act as if there were a draft.

How can the Left on one hand argue that underage girls can make momentous decisions with regard to abortion without their parents’ consent or even knowledge, while at the same time asserting that young men and woman over 18 do not make reasoned decisions with regard to military service? Cindy Sheehan’s son, who has attracted so much controversy re-enlisted at age 24 in October 2003, when weapons of mass destruction had not been found and the reconstruction of Iraq was clearly going to be bloody. Cindy Sheehan herself did not trust her son’s judgment. According to Cindy Sheehan, Casey “felt that he had to go to protect his buddies, to be there for his buddies, to be support, and they are brainwashed into thinking that even if they don’t agree with the mission, they’re brainwashed into just blindly following it.”

Who understands the workings of Cindy Sheehan’s mind? I prefer to believe she is confused by grief. I also prefer to believe that her son, the 24-year old Casey Sheehan, was capable of making heroic decision to “protect his buddies” out of uncommon love, not brainwashing. Does it do Casey Sheehan more personal honor to suggest that he acted out of valor or because he was brainwashed?

Perhaps the Left can learn to trust the independence and judgment of young men and women older than 18 and sometimes many years older as much as they trust the judgment of frightened 14-year old girls.

Disservice to a Son

Sunday, August 21st, 2005

There is a broad consensus about Army Specialist Casey Sheehan. He enlisted in the Army in 2000 as a twenty-year old. When he completed his initial enlistment and during the run up to the Iraq War, he felt a duty to re-enlist in August 2003. He anticipated that he might be sent to Iraq and his expectations were realized when he was deployed in 2004. The young Humvee mechanic was attached to the First US Cavalry.

Casey Sheehan died a hero when his convoy was attacked in Sadr City. Sheehan did not have to be part of the convoy. His sergeant told him that because he was a mechanic, Casey did not have to go into combat. Casey chose to share the fate of his comrades.

Of course, Casey Sheehan’s family, like the families of all fallen soldiers was devastated. President George W. Bush has met with the families of hundreds of fallen soldiers. The Sheehan family was among a group of families that met with Bush months ago. At the time, Casey’s mother Cindy Sheehan apparently appreciated the consolation the president provided.

According to The Reporter, a Vacaville California paper in June 2004, the meeting of the families of parents of fallen service people with the president allowed the families to celebrate the lives of their loved ones and remember the good times they shared. According to Cindy Sheehan, “[t]hat was the gift the president gave us, the gift of happiness, of being together.” The WorldNet Daily has even uncovered photographs of President Bush giving Cindy Sheehan a friendly kiss during their meeting.

Over several months, Cindy has been transformed from a grieving mother, consoled by a president to a bitter person hating not only the president but her country as well. She has begun identifying with the vilest of the Left. Sheehen now favorably compares Lynne Stewart, a radical Left-wing lawyer convicted of providing material support to terrorists groups, with Atticus Finch, the fictional lawyer in To Kill a Mockingbird that defended an innocent black man accused of rape. The same radical Islamofacism that Stewart was convicted of helping, killed Sheehan’s son. Frontpage Magazine quotes Sheehan as claiming “The biggest terrorist is George W. Bush,” and that our government is a “morally repugnant system.” Cindy Sheehan is now staging an angry protest in front of George Bush’s ranch.

One wishes not to be too hard on Cindy Sheehan since she has suffered a great loss. Unfortunately, her anger is not redemptive, but self-consuming. Has she been exploited by the Left, or is does she really believe the anti-American rhetoric she is using? It is not possible to tell from a distance.

Clearly, the entire situation has divided her family. Cindy’s husband of 28 years, Patrick, has filed for divorce. Casey Sheehan’s paternal grandparents are upset with Cindy writing that “We do not agree with the political motivations and publicity tactics of Cindy Sheehan. She now appears to be promoting her own personal agenda and notoriety at the expense of her son’s good name and reputation… The Sheehan family lost our beloved Casey in the Iraq War and we have been silently, respectfully grieving. The rest of the Sheehan family supports the troops, our country and our president, silently, with prayer and respect.”

According to a recent Rasmussen poll, a plurality of people with family members in Iraq, people who might empathize with Cindy Sheehan, view her unfavorably. The family of Marine Corporal Matthew Matula was so angry that Cindy Sheehan used the fallen Marine’s name on a protest cross that they traveled to Texas to insist that his name be removed. The more Sheehen speaks, the faster popular sympathy dissipates.

Whatever Cindy Sheehan’s real thinking, it is clear that her personal tragedy is being politically exploited by the Left. This is the same “politics is everything” approach to emotional exploitation on the Left that turned the solemn memorial service for Liberal Senator Paul Wellstone, who tragically died in an airplane crash, into a boisterous political rally.

The real political danger of Cindy Sheehan is not to President Bush, but to the Left and Democrats. The exploitation of Sheehan will be viewed by many as unseemly. It will hurt Democrats politically much in the same way that the callous reaction to the Paul Wellstone funeral helped defeat Democrat Walter Mondale who filled Wellstone’s vacant candidacy for senator from Minnesota.

Moreover, if the Left and Democrats embrace the heated and angry anti-American rhetoric of Sheehan that Bush is a terrorist and that we are as a country, “morally repugnant,” they will suffer politically. Americans can be appealed to by the loyal opposition — people who love America and its institutions, but who want it to move in a different direction. Cindy Sheehan’s voice does not sound like the loyal opposition. For their own political survival and to reduce the viciousness of political rhetoric, Democrats should not allow her voice to become their voice.